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“Everyone Has Won And All Must Have Prizes”

28 Monday Apr 2014

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Inequality, Thomas Piketty

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… said the Dodo to Alice. That philosophy is harmless enough when the subject is party favors. It is extremely unwise when applied to the larger distribution of rewards in society, as it all but guarantees that the total rewards produced by society will diminish over time. Thomas Piketty is preoccupied with the notion that future growth of the capital stock will exacerbate the unequal distribution of rewards in society. He believes the ensuing instability could be the ultimate undoing of capitalism. Piketty has gone to some effort to create a sort of intellectual foundation for this point of view. The egalitarian left is infatuated with his new book, “Capital In The Twenty-First Century.” But Piketty’s analysis is more like a series of assertions, with little in the way of solid empirical and analytical support. Here are two insightful reviews: Garrett Jones in Reason and Ryan Decker on his “Updated Priors” blog.

How Can Innovation Improve the Environment?

27 Sunday Apr 2014

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Club of Rome, Environment, Innovation, Limits to Growth, Matt Ridley, Scarcity

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Matt Ridley has an nice essay emphasizing that The World’s Resources Aren’t Running Out. They won’t, and the reason is innovation. There is a phenomenon that strikes the environmental left as such an impossible paradox that they cannot see their way clear to understanding how the environmental problem has been and will be solved: economic growth brings wealth that allows us to afford the development of new, cleaner technologies, and those technologies in turn encourage more economic growth. To add a qualifier, it will be solved unless governments prevent markets from doing the work.

Transactions That Matter

26 Saturday Apr 2014

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GDP, Gross Output

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The Commerce Department is now releasing quarterly estimates of Gross Output along with GDP. This will contribute to a better understanding of the economy because it gives a more comprehensive view of economic decisions. GDP measures the value of a country’s “final” output in a given time period, which is the same as the income earned in producing that output. Gross Output (GO) measures the total value of all transactions that occur in the process of generating final output and income.

This is an important distinction, as economists have traditionally focused on “aggregate demand” for final goods and services, a convenience made possible by the traditional measurement of GDP. However, this construct understates the breadth and complexity of economic activity. There are myriad decisions made along the way to producing any product, which take time to play out, even in the “short-run” when some inputs are fixed. The GO measure will help to shed light on the economy’s dynamics, such as its responses to shocks and various policy changes. It may also contribute to a better understanding of the relationship between monetary aggregates and economic activity.

The Zero-Sum “Progressive” Left

25 Friday Apr 2014

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Capitalism, Kevin Williamson, Progressivism

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Welcome to the Paradise of the Real, by Kevin Williamson, offers a few simple thought experiments to demonstrate some economic fallacies to which progressives desperately cling. Putting such fallacies into action as policies often inures to the detriment of the presumed beneficiaries. Williamson does a nice job of covering the huge contributions of capitalism to human well-being. He also contrasts the “money” and the physical economies, and while I agree with many of his points, he seems confused about how to use the parlance of economics in this context. And he emphasizes differences in the economic philosophies of conservatives and progressives without recognizing that the intellectual development of noninterventionist governing philosophy owes a great deal to libertarians and very little to conservatives. Nevertheless, I enjoyed this essay. Here is a brief excerpt:

“Measured by practically any physical metric, from the quality of the food we eat to the health care we receive to the cars we drive and the houses we live in, Americans are not only wildly rich, but radically richer than we were 30 years ago, to say nothing of 50 or 75 years ago. And so is much of the rest of the world. That such progress is largely invisible to us is part of the genius of capitalism….”

Such a Smart Big Little Kitty Cat!

24 Thursday Apr 2014

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Animal intelligence, Cats

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Cats are very uncooperative subjects for behavioral research. Some interesting if sparse evidence is discussed in What Are Cats Thinking? Cats have performed as well as dogs on the “pointing test,” which demonstrates “an ability to understand what another animal is thinking.” I’ve had some pretty smart cats over the years, but it’s hard to appreciate a cat’s mind without living with it. My cat Diego is very sociable and he often tries to initiate games with me. Among other signs, he gives me an upward jerk of his head, as if to say, “Come on, gimme your best shot!” Still, as the article notes, there is no denying that cats are often simply “surfing other channels….”

House of Nudge

23 Wednesday Apr 2014

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Big Data, central planning, social engineering, statism

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We can be thankful for The Limits of Social Engineering. The world would be a drab place if extensive data collection, or “reality mining,” was used to “optimize society,” continuously tracking our actions and manipulating our decisions. This is to say nothing about its real feasibility, but if it were feasible on the scale imagined by advocates, “social control” would be a more apt description.

I know first-hand that data and computing power can improve many processes. However, social-engineering fanatics promote far-reaching and intrusive use of such technologies. They seem to lack an appreciation for the efficiency, flexibility, diversity of experience, and personal freedom made possible by voluntary social cooperation through markets. More than anything else, “big data” social engineering is all too compatible with statism. It is a prescription for stasis and ultimately a pathway to a less affluent society. My favorite quote from the article: a data-driven society would “encourage us to optimize the status quo rather than challenge it.” Uh-huh…

Earth Day Doom — It’s a Tradition!

23 Wednesday Apr 2014

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Alarmism, Earth Day

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Mark Perry: 18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around the time of the first Earth Day in 1970, expect more this year. But doom sells books and creates jobs for intrusive bureaucrats; it hastens the parting of earthlings from their resources in countless ways.  

Perry quotes Ronald Bailey’s prediction for Earth Day 60 in 2030: “… a much cleaner, and much richer future world, with less hunger and malnutrition, less poverty, and longer life expectancy, and with lower mineral and metal prices. But [Bailey] makes one final prediction: ‘There will be a disproportionately influential group of doomsters predicting that the future–and the present–never looked so bleak.’ In other words, the hysteria and apocalyptic predictions will continue, promoted by the ‘environmental grievance hustlers.’”

Piketty’s Bad Trip On Capitalism

22 Tuesday Apr 2014

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Capitalism, Inequality, Thomas Piketty

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Clive Crook on Thomas Piketty’s much-acclaimed “Capital in the Twenty-First Century”: The Most Important Book Ever Is All Wrong. I believe the first part of that statement is intended as sarcasm, though Crook admits it’s an important book. It’s been called a Das Kapital for the 21st century. Tyler Cowen also has a review, which he summarizes here.

Piketty’s major thrust is that the return on capital will exceed economic growth in the future, leading to an ever-rising stock of capital and an ever-more-unequal distribution of income. A problem in his analysis (aside from the fact that the data he presents don’t always support his conclusions) apparently stems from a failure to account for wage dynamics: capital deepening increases wage growth. And capital deepening can be expected to lead to diminishing returns on capital. But never mind all that! Piketty says the return on capital will remain well in excess of growth, the capital stock will keep growing inexorably, and capitalists will earn increasing rents while wage income stagnates.

Crook concludes: “Over the course of history, capital accumulation has yielded growth in living standards that people in earlier centuries could not have imagined, let alone predicted — and it wasn’t just the owners of capital who benefited. Future capital accumulation may or may not increase the capital share of output; it may or may not widen inequality. … But even if it does, it won’t matter as much as whether and how quickly wages and living standards rise. That is, or ought to be, the defining issue of our era, and it’s one on which ‘Capital in the 21st Century’ has almost nothing to say.”

Spreading Fresh Manure

21 Monday Apr 2014

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Organic food.

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Tyranny of the Organic Mommy Mafia is funny and rings so true, but it’s not just mommies preaching the organic religion. Many other “concerned,” self-styled nutritionists are pushing the propaganda. Not to mention the food industry, which quite rightly sees “organics” as a means to higher margins. Wash your produce (including, and maybe especially, your organic produce), keep your chicken drippings under control, cook the meat, and stop worrying!

Aside

Harvard Falls For It

21 Monday Apr 2014

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AGW, Climate Alarmism

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Here’s a truth: building a “consensus” is seldom real science, it’s politics. For proof that politics is at the center of climate alarmism, look no further than the dishonesty with which the alarmists have conducted their campaign to promote anthropomorphic global warming, the shrill panic they seek to encourage, the demonization of skeptics, the politicization of a wide range of otherwise private decisions, and the attempt to brainwash the public via sensation-seeking media and a gullible educational establishment.

“Perhaps eons hence someone picking through the rocks in what once was Cambridge will find fossils of delicate imprint showing that intelligent life once lived until it was lost in a mass extinction brought on by ‘consensus.'”

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Passive Income Kickstart

OnlyFinance.net

TLC Cholesterol

Nintil

To estimate, compare, distinguish, discuss, and trace to its principal sources everything

kendunning.net

The Future is Ours to Create

DCWhispers.com

Hoong-Wai in the UK

A Commonwealth immigrant's perspective on the UK's public arena.

Marginal REVOLUTION

Small Steps Toward A Much Better World

Stlouis

Watts Up With That?

The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change

American Elephants

Defending Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness

The View from Alexandria

In advanced civilizations the period loosely called Alexandrian is usually associated with flexible morals, perfunctory religion, populist standards and cosmopolitan tastes, feminism, exotic cults, and the rapid turnover of high and low fads---in short, a falling away (which is all that decadence means) from the strictness of traditional rules, embodied in character and inforced from within. -- Jacques Barzun

The Gymnasium

A place for reason, politics, economics, and faith steeped in the classical liberal tradition

A Force for Good

How economics, morality, and markets combine

Notes On Liberty

Spontaneous thoughts on a humble creed

troymo

SUNDAY BLOG Stephanie Sievers

Escaping the everyday life with photographs from my travels

Miss Lou Acquiring Lore

Gallery of Life...

Your Well Wisher Program

Attempt to solve commonly known problems…

Objectivism In Depth

Exploring Ayn Rand's revolutionary philosophy.

RobotEnomics

(A)n (I)ntelligent Future

Orderstatistic

Economics, chess and anything else on my mind.

Paradigm Library

OODA Looping

Scattered Showers and Quicksand

Musings on science, investing, finance, economics, politics, and probably fly fishing.

Jam Review

"If you get confused, listen to the music play."

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