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Article I, Constitution, Donald Trump, Eric Boehm, Executive Power, Greg Ip, Greta Peisch, IEEPA, Ilya Somin, Power of the Purse, Protectionism, Richard Nixon, SCOTUS, Supreme Court, Tariff Revenue, Tariffs, V.O.S. Selections, Volokh Conspiracy, VOS Selections Inc. v. Trump

The world doesn’t ordinarily revolve around tariffs, but so much has happened to make tariffs into an economic and political linchpin of the moment. Donald Trump put them in the spotlight, of course, and while he’s still seeing roses, things won’t turn out entirely the way he hopes. At the tariff levels he’s instituted, this shouldn’t be too surprising.
While tariff revenue is helping to shave the federal budget deficit, the tax falls largely on the backs of American consumers and businesses with all the attending distortions that entails. Sadly, the extra revenue also seems to have offered a handy excuse to put spending cuts on the back burner. Tariffs and tariff uncertainty have businesses attempting to compromise between reduced margins and price hikes. Thinning margins due to tariffs have played a role in the weak employment numbers we’ve seen over the past few months. And tariffs, at least until now, have quite rightly reinforced the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance toward easing policy. However, the weak labor market has likely convinced the Fed to cut its short-term interest rate target, despite inflation stubbornly remaining well above the Fed’s 2% objective. That upward price pressure will remain.
Now, the legal battle over Trump’s tariff authority is about to reach a climax. That’s what I’ll focus on here. The Supreme Court has agreed to fast track the challenge to the President’s discretion to impose retaliatory tariffs unilaterally. There are two cases at hand: V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump, and Learning Resources, Inc., et al. v. Donald Trump et al. In both cases, small business plaintiffs contend that Trump’s invocation of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) is unwarranted, and that “most” of the tariff actions taken by Trump have usurped Congress’ power of the purse under Article I of the Constitution. Here’s Ilya Somin, who is a Volokh Conspiracy regular and one of the attorneys representing the plaintiffs:
“… IEEPA doesn’t even mention tariffs and has never previously been used to impose them, that there is no ‘unusual and extraordinary threat’ of the kind required to invoke IEEPA, the major questions doctrine, the constitutional nondelegation doctrine, and more.“
This isn’t the first time a U.S. president has imposed tariffs unilaterally, but it is easily the most drastic such action. Historically, nearly all tariffs were levied by acts of Congress. Prior to Trump II, perhaps the broadest tariff imposed by a President was Richard Nixon’s brief 10% surcharge on all imports, but that was lifted quickly. Presidents Johnson and Obama imposed some selective tariffs. All of these episodes seem piddling compared to Trump’s tariffs, which are both sweeping and in many cases painfully selective.
Eric Boehm notes that when it comes to major constitutional questions, the Court has taken the position that
“… executive power should be construed narrowly, not broadly …. Rather than tying itself into knots to affirm nearly unlimited executive powers over commerce, the Supreme Court should tell the Trump administration to get permission from Congress before imposing new tariffs.“
I believe that will be the general shape of the outcome here. Maybe there’s a way for the Court to allow the tariffs to stand until Congress decides to “man up”, acting one way or the other. SCOTUS would probably like to do just that! Or maybe the Court could stay the lower court’s injunction until the case is heard by the Court in full on the regular docket, or until Congress acts.
There’s a decent chance, however, that Trump’s tariffs will be struck down, leaving it up to tariff supporters in Congress to lay down statutory rules rather than put up with the impulsive craziness we’ve witnessed thus far. If the Court lets the tariffs stand, it leaves the door open for new tests on the limits of executive discretion. Here is Greg Ip at the link:
“There would also be no end to uncertainty. ‘Unlike most other tariff authorities, these tariffs are not enshrined in statute, there’s no process to change them, and they can change very rapidly, in a day, without much notice, as we’ve seen,’ said Greta Peisch, a trade attorney at Wiley Rein and former general counsel for the U.S. trade representative.“
We’ve already seen strong hints that the Administration would like to force businesses to eat the cost of the tariffs rather than pass them along to consumers in higher prices. There hasn’t been any formal action of this kind by the Administration, at least not yet. Still, one can hardly blame businesses who might perceive an implicit threat if they fail to comply. That kind of bullying represents an a massive abuse of power. The Court could do everyone a big favor by clarifying that the authority to impose tariffs rests with Congress.

