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The Rise of the GOP “Common Good” Socialists

02 Wednesday Sep 2026

Posted by Nuetzel in Capitalism, Socialism

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central planning, China Shock, Common Good Capitalism, Covenant Capitalism, Data Centers, Democratic Socialists of America, Don Boudreaux, Donald Trump, Financialization, Government Equity Stakes, Industrial Policy, Interventionism, J.D. Vance, Josh Hawley, Lindsay Craig, Living Wage, MAGA, Marco Rubio, National Review Institute, Nationalism, NIMBYism, Oren Cass, Protectionism, Share Buybacks, Stakeholder Capitalism, Veronique de Rugy

Socialism has gained ground among democrats at a feverish pitch, and “mere socialism” and “democratic socialism” do not convey the tenor of the movement. The Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) wants not just bigger government: the majority of its governing board would like to completely dismantle our governing institutions and replace them with a communist state. While the DSA is formally independent, it doesn’t field candidates as a party. Instead, it essentially operates as a faction of the Democrats, who have long given cover to the far left. There are still plenty of moderate democrats who see the DSA as anathema and a threat to their electoral hopes.

New Ground On the Right

While the socialists’ ascendance among democrats is getting all the media coverage, a different trend is more remarkable: the outright embrace of socialist policies by an influential wing of the Republican Party. This despite the GOP’s rhetorical tradition as the party of “small government”, which of course it has failed to live up to. Pay no attention to the House resolution condemning socialism “in all its forms”, which was narrowly passed this week. The bill does put opposing representatives on record as having failed to condemn socialism. Otherwise it’s fairly meaningless, especially in the context of “GOP socialism”, which has gone largely unrecognized as such, or willfully ignored, by most republicans. In any case, the resolution is more focused on calling for the enactment of the SAVE America Act (Voter ID) than on socialism itself.

The government equity stakes launched by the Trump Administration are but one manifestation of this statist philosophical trap into which republicans began to stumble several years ago: “Common Good Capitalism” (CGC). Vice President Marco Rubio is widely credited with coining that name in a 2019 speech at Catholic University. In policy terms, it overlaps with MAGA dogma in several areas, but not all. Oren Cass, who is the “chief economist” of American Compass (and he is not an economist), was probably most instrumental in the development of CGC. It’s not all socialism, of course. Every ideological offshoot has its nuances. While often cited for its compatibility with religious policy motives, it’s nevertheless a mishmash of populist-nationalist, postliberal “DO SOMETHING” ideas that would grant a far greater role for the state in economic and social affairs. There are variations of CGC: Senator Josh Hawley calls his own version “covenant capitalism”, which suggests an even heavier emphasis on themes of family and faith.

Burned At the Equity Stake

Veronique de Rugy calls out GOP hypocrisy regarding socialism and state ownership of the means of production in a recent article “The GOP Is Warning About Socialism While Quietly Embracing It”. Trump’s aggressive effort to acquire equity stakes is now at 30 companies plus a giant Venezuelan oil development interest held by … the Pentagon? (A defense bill pending in the Senate would authorize the Department of War to take equity stakes in key contractors, but this deal seems to have happened without it.) I’m passionately opposed to government equity stakes and a federal sovereign wealth fund. I’ve discussed it on this blog several times (here and here, for example).

De Rugy covers several failings of state ownership in private companies:

  • Concentrated power over economic decisions in the hands of shifting partisan interests. Influence here extends well beyond the government’s share of ownership;
  • Every government policy tool influences the value of its equity stake, creating conflicts of interest between government, private shareholders, and taxpayers;
  • Irresponsible use of public funding in a time of severe fiscal imbalance;
  • Inefficient allocation of capital to politically-favored and often boneheaded uses; efficient uses tend not to require public money;
  • These firms might well be too state-invested and state-controlled to fail, so taxpayer bailouts become a much greater possibility.

Government equity stakes ultimately provide a subsidy to select firms and penalize others based on political considerations. They offer some of the worst shortfalls of central planning. And if there is spare change rattling around at the Treasury, which is unlikely, it would be better deployed in paying down the existing federal debt. That gets you an immediate and ongoing reduction in now burgeoning interest costs, less rate risk as debt rolls over, and it avoids reliance on the tenuous equity returns on shares of companies subject to heavy government control.

Cloaked Collectivism

Trump’s equity stakes fit seamlessly with the policy agenda of CGC. The following is taken from the web site of the Common Good Capitalism Movement:

“Common Good Capitalism is when in a free market economy individuals and organizations freely choose to give priority to the common good and second priority to profit or mission. They can act alone. Or they can join in an association with competitors to reach agreements to voluntarily raise the level labor, environmental, and social playing field beyond what governments have demanded of them while continuing to compete as a secondary priority.”

That sounds so nice! Be very, very good and generous to everyone, at your owners’ expense, and then join hands with your competitors. Then we’ll either buy-in or simply leave you alone. Sure they will!

The GOP is enamored with the vacuous concept of “common good” for electoral purposes. It’s certainly alluring to populist instincts. Thus, many republicans have come to believe in an array of policies that incorporate practices involving more than a small degree of statism. It’s partly based on the myth of a shrinking middle class and that the affordability of the American dream is out of reach for many Americans.

Pieces of a Platform

So let‘s review a few positions and tenets now associated with CGC. These appear in no particular order, but several are intended by their advocates to encourage American self-sufficiency and national security:

  • Industrial policy is promoted by CGC devotees as a tool for achieving the common good. They favor interventions that would favor small businesses, and they believe active industrial policy can promote job growth, national self-reliance, and national security. Equity stakes in private companies fall under this heading, which may include coercive reviews or approvals for certain business activities. Industrial policy is a form of central economic planning, and it often boils down to the picking of winners and losers by the state.
  • Protectionism, including tariffs, presumed to encourage reindustrialization and high-wage job growth, self-sufficiency, and national security. This is the wrong approach, and it too is a form of statist central economic planning. Its proponents don’t seem to realize that Trump’s tariffs represent a huge tax increase on consumers as well as firms that rely on imported inputs.
  • “Stakeholder capitalism“, they say, is necessary to ensure that businesses weigh not only the interests of their owners, but more importantly their workers and “communities”, broadly defined. No one should expect firms pursuing such ends to maximize value, and buyers should not expect them to produce superior products. Codified stakeholder capitalism would represent an abrogation of the property rights of actual shareholders. The identification of “stakeholders” has no limiting principle, so it’s an open invitation to loot.
  • Data center derangement has crept into the talking points made by many republicans and the CGC faithful. This is mostly run-of-the mill anti-development activism, not socialism per se. Plain old NIMBYism can be a visceral response to almost any development, and an honest aesthetic revulsion, but data center developers are more than willing to negotiate compromises that bring massive benefits to communities. Almost everything you hear about the external costs inflicted by data center is fictitious. Should data center opponents prevail in slowing the buildout of information infrastructure, it would be a blow to prospects for U.S. leadership in AI, economic growth, competitiveness, and national security. I think more moderate voices within the CGC movement recognize these dangers.
  • Price controls just might be put to broader use in the hope of serving the “common good”: living wage arguments have been welcomed into the CGC intellectual milieu, despite the unproductive and often destructive results of minimum wage legislation. Trump has been railing against the oil companies for supposedly profiting off American consumers. Probably just jawboning, but price ceilings might not be out of the question. Commodity price ceilings seem to be only a mild flirtation of CGC, so let’s hope Trump doesn’t normalize the idea. However, Trump and Josh Hawley have proposed capping credit card interest rates, a sure path to limiting the availability of credit to the most credit-challenged consumers. You can quibble here, but the revocation of pricing authority is every bit as much a taking as a levy on asset values.
  • CGC is union-friendly, which is unusual for a movement dominated by republicans. It insists that broad-based collective bargaining will promote more prosperous and stable families. I support the right to collective bargaining for all except public employees, and with the qualification that workers should have complete freedom of representation. However, unions raise business costs and introduce rigidities that ultimately make unionized firms less competitive and less innovative, so the hoped-for stability is likely to be short-lived for many workers.
  • Another tenet of CGC is to restrict legal immigration, despite the aging U.S. population, an insolvent pay–as-you-go public retirement system, and birth rates below replacement levels. Imposing sharp limits on immigration is a nationalist position, or even nativist, though some notorious socialists were and are both nativistic and nationalistic. Either way, this is an intrusive, statist position, and it is often xenophobic. But to be clear, I am not arguing for open borders or any form of illegal entry. Rather, I advocate for liberalized legal immigration based on merit.
  • To its credit, CGC is more oriented toward “sound money” and an independent Federal Reserve than is the Trump Administration. Trump almost seems to prefer replacing Fed authority with money printing at the whim of the executive, and in support of a far broader economic role for the state.
  • CGC calls for restrictions on certain private financial decisions, such as outlawing share buybacks and private equity. This would represent another intrusion into private affairs. This is connected to CGC’s disdain for the “financialization” of the American economy. The ban would come on top of Trump’s 1% tax of share repurchases and prohibition of buybacks by defense contractors. However, there is evidence that legalizing share repurchases tends to stimulate corporate investment by redirecting investor funds from “mature firms” to newer, relatively cash-strapped firms having unfunded growth opportunities. An implication is that prohibiting buybacks is more like shooting yourself in the foot. It would be another coercive intrusion into the private sphere, a “taking” of private decision-making authority and a form of social control.
  • The CGC movement would like to use the tax code to achieve social objectives such as family formation. These steps would include higher per-child tax credits, subsidies (family income supports), and private business mandates (e.g., required paid parental leave). I‘m all for family formation, but whether you call this socialist or authoritarian, these incentives should remain private, not subject to the whims of the state.
  • Investment incentives: I’m loath to criticize policies that improve investment incentives, such as immediate expensing of investments of physical capital. On the other hand, were it not for the existence of a distortionary tax system that double-taxes corporate income, business tax breaks would be wholly unnecessary. So let’s start with the root problem by reforming business taxation, not doubling down on distortions. Furthermore, the reliance on so-called tax subsidies represents another avenue through which government manipulates the character of economic activity, with impacts that persist for years. Central planning!
  • Perceptions of the “national interest” are always in flux, shaped by current politics and those holding power. But among CGC adherents, their view of today’s national interest must always take priority over market efficiency. This is used to justify a wide range of policies: tariffs, equity stakes, manufacturing subsidies, often based on claims that a fictitious “China Shock” has hollowed out American manufacturing. Please… this is a weak excuse for state intervention. And though the argument might not be uniquely inspired by socialism, the “national interest” makes a convenient talking point for any socialist.
  • Finally, MAGA and CGC have somewhat divergent views on regulation and intervention. MAGA, despite its embrace of government planning and its apparent rejection of fiscal conservatism, at least continues its efforts to reduce regulatory burdens on the private sector. In some cases, CGC might do that too, but CGC embraces a variety of interventions under a variety of circumstances to change business incentives or safeguard against what they judge to be violations against public welfare. CGC’s approach to managing the business environment might include antitrust actions, efforts to discourage plant or office closures, and restrictions on certain business practices such as H-1B visas and non-compete agreements. This is in addition to items discussed above, like discouraging “financialization”, strict oversight of private equity, enforcing a balanced labor bargaining environment, and fostering representation of stakeholders in corporate decision-making.

But here’s a fundamental truth, courtesy of Don Boudreaux in a 2024 letter to the National Review Institute’s then-President Lindsay Craig, regarding Oren Cass‘ advocacy for CGC:

“… one of the merits of the liberal market order is that it allows each of us to pursue our individual ends absent any need to agree on, or to aim for, anything called the ‘common good.’ …

“… Because of the diversity of individuals’ particular interests, ends, and understandings of ‘the good,’ to impose any specific ‘common good’ goal of the sort that Mr. Cass favors necessarily requires coercing the majority of people to abandon their own ends in order to assist in the pursuit of the particular ends enforced by those who currently hold political power.”

If not socialism, many of the positions listed above are at odds with the ideals of small government, individual liberty, and free market capitalism. But it’s not the least unfair to say many of them veer into socialism. The extent to which the collectivist mindset, often disguised as mere populism, has permeated republican circles is rather astonishing. I should be happy they haven’t proposed anything as socially suicidal as a wealth tax… yet!

Vance and Rubio

In leadership circles, Trump has areas of agreement as well as departures from CGC, but it’s a different story among his most likely successors to the helm of the party and the presidency. Vice President J.D. Vance is an ardent critic of capitalism, and strongly believes that the state must intervene to correct the “failures” of the market economy. I empathize with his outrage over the plant closures and economic decline that have afflicted certain communities. He experienced the effects himself growing up, but his current diagnosis assigns blame to the market order. He does not acknowledge that buyer preferences and high costs made operating those plants unviable in the first place. Market competition can both reward and punish, but it is a process that ultimately improves the general welfare. Government planning is wholly incapable of replacing the market process, and government (and taxpayers) cannot be called upon to preserve former income levels or even a former way of life.

Vance has a beef with the pursuit of measured economic growth. In his view, it comes at the expense of the traditional values he most cherishes. For example, unpaid household work is not counted in official GDP statistics, nor is elder care at home. Therefore, says Vance, the statistics themselves contain a bias against single-income and multi-generational households. Those measurement issues have long been acknowledged by economists, but he goes so far as to suggest that policy should ignore the official statistics. He has slammed holiday shifts for retail workers as exploitive. And he believes that trade deficits represent a threat to the nation (complete nonsense) and strongly supports tariffs on imports of foreign goods.

Marco Rubio is another potential CGC contender for the presidency in 2028, and he’s given credit for bringing CGC into broad discussion within the GOP. His version strikes me as hewing closer to MAGA principles than Vance does. Rubio’s take on GCG is quite focused on national security and Sino-American trade and relations. He is strongly for tight control of immigration. He supports deregulation and free market principles, with qualifications. But he also says free markets must guarantee “dignified work” to all working or job-seeking Americans at decent wages. What exactly does “dignified work” mean? And how does one simply wave away frictions in the job market that will always persist. What does “decent wages” mean? Is Rubio suggesting a mandated living wage?

Rubio statements are riddled with misconceptions about economic and technological issues. For example, his anti-trade arguments are just as moronic as Trump’s; his emphasis on redirecting activity toward production in the “physical economy” is vapid (except perhaps in markets with implications for national security); he supports more industrial policy despite a history of central planning failures; his comparison of stock buybacks to dividend income for shareholders is daft; he holds a childish view of internet development as a social media phenomenon; and far too broadly, he characterizes U.S. innovation as historically driven by defense and public-private partnerships. On the whole, Rubio might seem to have a healthier market orientation than Vance, but he still talks like an interventionist in many respects.

Conclusion

The whole CGC attack on free markets reflects a poor understanding of basic economics. It requires massive value judgements that stand in contrast to the values that emerge from the impersonal, voluntary interactions of many participants in free markets. Just as damning is CGC’s failure to recognize the many opportunities for rent seeking and corruption are enabled by government intervention. But to drive all this home, I’ll close with another quote from Don Boudreaux, which I took from a 2023 post on his blog:

“In reality, the best economic system for promoting the common good is what I, in these discussions, call ‘capitalism unprefixed’ – that is, capitalism as understood and championed by people such as Hayek and Friedman. Not only is there no need for government to interfere with capitalism unprefixed in order to ensure that the common good is served, such interference is far too likely to bestow unearned benefits on politically favored groups, or to satisfy the particular ideological preferences of politically influential intellectuals, all at the larger expense – material and nonmaterial – of the people as a whole.

“If ‘common good capitalism’ means anything other than capitalism unprefixed, its pursuit necessarily requires government to elevate the particular preferences of some individuals over those of other individuals – a move that mocks the meaning of ‘common good’ as understood by true liberals.

“In short, ‘common good capitalism’ implies the ability of ‘common good capitalists’ to determine which particular ends are, and which aren’t, consistent with the common good, and the right of these ‘capitalists’ to commandeer the state to impose their determination on everyone.“

Scarce, Costly Housing as if a Regulatory Objective

19 Sunday May 2024

Posted by Nuetzel in Housing Policy, Regulation

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Airbnb, Bryan Caplan, Build Baby Build, Fertility, Frederic Bastiat, Height Restrictions, Home Vacancies, Housing Developers, Housing Subsidies, Kevin Erdman, Labor Mobility, Lot Sizes, NIMBYism, Rent Control, Ryan Bourne, Seen and Unseen, The War on Prices, Urban Density, Veronique de Rugy, Zoning

Housing costs are taking a toll on many Americans. Home prices have risen about 47% cumulatively since 2020, while higher mortgage rates have compounded the difficulties faced by potential homebuyers. Meanwhile, rents are up about 23% over the same period. There just aren’t enough homes available, and the primary cause is an extensive set of regulatory obstacles to increasing the supply of homes.

High housing costs are often blamed on various manifestations of greed. Renters tend to resent their landlords, while those suffering from housing sticker-shock sometimes cast paranoid blame on people with second homes, investor properties, Airbnb rentals, and even residential developers, as if those seeking to build new housing are at the root of the problem.

Quite the contrary: we have an acute shortage of housing. The chart below shows how home vacancy rates have fallen to a level that can’t accommodate the normal frictions associated with housing turnover.

Doubts about this shortfall might owe to confusion over the meaning of one statistic: our high current level of housing units per capita. It does not indicate a plentiful stock of housing, as some assume. Alex Tabarrok, in commenting favorably on a lengthier post by Kevin Erdman, offers a simple example demonstrating that units per capita is not a reliable guide to the adequacy of housing supply:

“Suppose we have 100 homes and 100 families, each with 2 parents and 2 kids. Thus, there are 100 homes, 400 people and 0.25 homes per capita.  Now the kids grow up, get married, and want homes of their own but they have fewer kids of their own, none for simplicity. Imagine that supply increases substantially, say to 150 homes. The number of homes per capita goes up to 150/400 (.375), an all time high! Supply-side skeptics are right about the numbers, wrong about the meaning. The reality is that the demand for homes has increased to 200 but supply has increased to just 150 leading to soaring prices.”

Fewer kids have led to more homes per capita even as we suffer from a shortage of housing. In the long run, lower fertility might make it easier for housing supply to catch up with demand, but not if government continues to hamstring housing construction. Only new construction can rectify this shortfall.

That’s the message of Bryan Caplan’s “Build Baby, Build!”. Caplan has been a prominent advocate of eliminating obstacles to the construction of new housing. His book is rather unique in its contribution to economic literature because it tells the story of counterproductive housing policy in the form of a “graphic novel”, which is to say an elaborate comic book. Caplan appears in the book as protagonist, teacher and persistent gadfly.

Government obstructs additions to the supply of housing in a variety of ways: rent controls, zoning laws, density restrictions, height limits, environmental rules, and compliance paperwork. And very often these interventions are supported by existing occupants and even owners of existing homes as a matter of NIMBYism. Construction of new homes, the sure answer to the problem of an inadequate supply of housing, is actively resisted. These limitations have widespread implications for the health of the economy.

As Caplan points out, the scarcity and expense of housing limits mobility, so workers are often unable to exploit opportunities that require a move, particularly to areas of rapid growth. This makes it difficult for the labor market to adjust to negative shocks or long-term decline that might displace workers in specific locales. The mobility of resources is key to well-functioning economy, but our policies fail miserably on this count.

Rent control is an insidious policy option usually favored in dense urban areas by current renters as well as politicians seeking a visible and easy “fix” to rising rental rates. The problem is obvious: rent control destroys incentives to improve or even maintain properties. Depending on specific rules, it might even discourage development of new rental units. The result is a slow decay of the existing housing stock.

Zoning laws are an old tool of NIMBYism. The objective is to keep multifamily housing (or certain kinds of commercial development) safely away from single-family neighborhoods, or to prevent developments with relatively small lot sizes. There is also agricultural zoning, which can prevent new development along urban peripheries. It’s not difficult to understand how restrictive zoning causes rents and housing prices to escalate.

Similarly, density limits, height restrictions, burdensome filing requirements, and environmental rules all work to limit the supply of new homes.

As if crushing the supply side wasn’t enough, housing costs will come under pressure from the demand side as the Biden Administration pushes new home buying subsidies. They propose tax credits of $400 a month (at least while mortgage rates remain elevated) and an end to title insurance fees on government-backed mortgages. This would drive prices higher still. The Administration also threatens to prosecute landlords who “collude” in utilizing third-party algorithms for information in establishing rental rates. Finally, Biden proposes to dedicate billions to the construction of affordable housing, but the history of affordable housing initiatives and building subsidies is one of drastically inflated costs. This is unlikely to differ in that regard.

As wrongheaded as it is, the fact that the public is often favorably disposed to so much housing regulation is easy to understand. Rent controls prevent increases in rents to existing tenants, an easily “seen” benefit. The deleterious long-term consequences on the stock of housing are “unseen”, in the language of Frederic Bastiat.

As for zoning, homeowners are resistant to the construction of nearby “low-value” units for a variety of reasons, some aesthetic and some practical, like maintaining home values or preventing excessive traffic. “Keeping the riffraff out” is undoubtedly at play as well.

This resistance extends well beyond the limits of enforcing private property rights. It is pure rent seeking behavior in the public sphere for private benefit. Politicians and government officials tend to view the motives behind zoning as sensible, however, despite the long-term consequences of strict zoning for housing supply. Similarly, environmental restrictions sound well and good, but they too have their “unseen” negative consequences.

Most puzzling is the animus with which so many regard private residential developers, who generally build what people want: low-density suburban enclaves. Developers do it for profit, but this alienates voters who are ignorant of the economic role of profit. As in any other pursuit, profit creates a basic incentive for development activity, and to provide the kinds of homes and neighborhood amenities demanded by consumers, and to do so efficiently.

On the other hand, sprawling development inflicts external costs on incumbent residents due to added congestion, and developers and their home buyers benefit from the provision of roads that are free to users. The solution is to internalize the cost of building roads by pricing their use. Homebuyers would then weigh the value of buying in a particular area against the full marginal cost, including road use, while helping to defray the cost of maintenance and upgrades to roads and other infrastructure.

Our housing policies restrict the actions of landlords, developers, and ultimately consumers of housing. The misallocations of resources occur every time a tenant or homeowner feels they can’t afford to move in response to changing circumstances. Here is Veronique de Rugy, in an article inspired by Ryan Bourne’s “The War on Prices”, on the constraints imposed on individuals by one form of misguided intervention (my bracketed additions):

“Prices and wages [and housing rents] set on market dynamics reflect underlying economic realities and then send out a signal for help. Price [rent] controls only mask these realities, which inevitably worsens the economy’s ability to respond with what ordinary consumers and workers need.“

But our housing problem is not solely caused by interference with the price mechanism. Rather, excessive regulation of rents and a panoply of other details of the legal environment for housing have led to our current shortfall. The lesson is deregulate, and to let developers build (and rehabilitate) the housing that people need.

Grow Or Collapse: Stasis Is Not a Long-Term Option

18 Wednesday Jan 2023

Posted by Nuetzel in Climate, Environment, Growth

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Asymptotic Burnout, Benjamin Friedman, Climate Change, Dead Weight Loss, Degrowth, Fermi Paradox, Lewis M. Andrews, Limits to Growth, NIMBYism, Paul Ehrlich, Population Bomb, Poverty, regulation, Robert Colvile, Stakeholder Capitalism, State Capacity, Stubborn Attachments, Subsidies, Tax Distortions, Thomas Malthus, Tyler Cowan, Veronique de Rugy, Zero Growth

Growth is a human imperative and a good thing in every sense. We’ve long heard from naysayers, however, that growth will exhaust our finite resources, ending in starvation and the collapse of human civilization. They say, furthermore, that the end is nigh! It’s an old refrain. Thomas Malthus lent it credibility over 200 years ago (perhaps unintentionally), and we can pick on poor Paul Ehrlich’s “Population Bomb” thesis as a more modern starting point for this kind of hysteria. Lewis M. Andrews puts Ehrlich’s predictions in context:

“A year after the book’s publication, Ehrlich went on to say that this ‘utter breakdown’ in Earth’s capacity to support its bulging population was just fifteen years away. … For those of us still alive today, it is clear that nothing even approaching what Ehrlich predicted ever happened. Indeed, in the fifty-four years since his dire prophesy, those suffering from starvation have gone from one in four people on the planet to just one in ten, even as the world’s population has doubled.”

False Limits

The “limits” argument comes from the environmental Left, but it creates for them an uncomfortable tradeoff between limiting growth and the redistribution of a fixed (they hope) or shrinking (more likely) pie. That’s treacherous ground on which to build popular support. It’s also foolish to stake a long-term political agenda on baldly exaggerated claims (and see here) about the climate and resource constraints. Ultimately, people will recognize those ominous forecasts as manipulative propaganda.

Last year, an academic paper argued that growing civilizations must eventually reach a point of “asymptotic burnout” due to resource constraints, and must undergo a “homeostatic awakening”: no growth. The authors rely on a “superlinear scaling” argument based on cross-sectional data on cities, and they offer their “burnout” hypothesis as an explanation for the Fermi Paradox: the puzzling quiet we observe in the universe while we otherwise expect it to be teeming with life… civilizations reach their “awakenings” before finding ways to communicate with, or even detect, their distant neighbors. I addressed this point and it’s weaknesses last year, but here I mention it only to demonstrate that the “limits to growth” argument lives on in new incarnations.

Growth-limiting arguments are tenuous on at least three fundamental grounds: 1) failure to consider the ability of markets to respond to scarcity; 2) underestimating the potential of human ingenuity not only to adapt to challenges, but to invent new solutions, exploit new resources, and use existing resources more efficiently; and 3) homeostasis is impossible because zero growth cannot be achieved without destructive coercion, suspension of cooperative market mechanisms, and losses from non-market (i.e., political and non-political) competition for the fixed levels of societal wealth and production.

The zero-growth world is one that lacks opportunities and rewards for honest creation of value, whether through invention or simple, hard work. That value is determined through the interaction of buyers and sellers in markets, the most effective form of voluntary cooperation and social organization ever devised by mankind. Those preferring to take spoils through the political sphere, or who otherwise compete on the basis of force, either have little value to offer or simply lack the mindset to create value to exchange with others at arms length.

Zero-Growth Mentality

As Robert Colvile writes in a post called “The Morality of Growth”:

“A society without growth is not just politically far more fragile. It is hugely damaging to people’s lives – and in particular to the young, who will never get to benefit from the kind of compounding, increasing prosperity their parents enjoyed.”

Expanding on this theme is commenter Slocum at the Marginal Revolution site, where Colvile’s essay was linked:

“Humans behave poorly when they perceive that the pie is fixed or shrinking, and one of the main drivers for behaving poorly is feelings of envy coming to the forefront. The way we encourage people not to feel envy (and to act badly) is not to try to change human nature, or ‘nudge’ them, but rather to maintain a state of steady improvement so that they (naturally) don’t feel envious, jealous, tribal, xenophobic etc. Don’t create zero-sum economies and you won’t bring out the zero-sum thinking and all the ills that go with it.”

And again, this dynamic leads not to zero growth (if that’s desired), but to decay. Given the political instability to which negative growth can lead, collapse is a realistic possibility.

I liked Colville’s essay, but it probably should have been titled “The Immorality of Non-Growth”. It covers several contemporary obstacles to growth, including the rise of “stakeholder capitalism”, the growth of government at the expense of the private sector, strangling regulation, tax disincentives, NIMBYism, and the ease with which politicians engage in populist demagoguery in establishing policy. All those points have merit. But if his ultimate purpose was to shed light on the virtues of growth, it seems almost as if he lost his focus in examining only the flip side of the coin. I came away feeling like he didn’t expend much effort on the moral virtues of growth as he intended, though I found this nugget well said:

“It is striking that the fastest-growing societies also tend to be by far the most optimistic about their futures – because they can visibly see their lives getting better.”

Compound Growth

A far better discourse on growth’s virtues is offered by Veronique de Rugy in “The Greatness of Growth”. It should be obvious that growth is a potent tonic, but its range as a curative receives strangely little emphasis in popular discussion. First, de Rugy provides a simple illustration of the power of long-term growth, compound growth, in raising average living standards:

This is just a mechanical exercise, but it conveys the power of growth. At 2% real growth, real GDP per capital would double in 35 years and quadruple in 70 years. At 4% growth, real GDP would double in 18 years… less than a generation! It would quadruple in 35 years. If you’re just now starting a career, imagine nearing retirement at a standard of living four times as lavish as today’s senior employees (who make a lot more than you do now). We’ll talk a little more about how such growth rates might be achieved, but first, a little more on what growth can achieve.

The Rewards of Growth

Want to relieve poverty? There is no better and more permanent solution than economic growth. Here are some illustrations of this phenomenon:

Want to rein-in the federal budget deficit? Growth reduces the burden of the existing debt and shrinks fiscal deficits, though it might interfere with what little discipline spendthrift politicians currently face. We’ll have to find other fixes for that problem, but at least growth can insulate us from their profligacy.

And who can argue with the following?

“All the stuff an advocate anywhere on the political spectrum claims to value—good health, clean environment, safety, families and quality of life—depends on higher growth. …

There are other well-documented material consequences of modern economic growth, such as lower homicide rates, better health outcomes (babies born in the U.S. today are expected to live into their upper 70s, not their upper 30s as in 1860), increased leisure, more and better clothing and shelter, less food insecurity and so on.”

De Rugy argues convincingly that growth might well entail a greater boost in living standards for lower ranges of the socioeconomic spectrum than for the well-to-do. That would benefit not just those impoverished due to a lack of skills, but also those early in their careers as well as seniors attempting to earn extra income. For those with a legitimate need of a permanent safety net, growth allows society to be much more generous.

What de Rugy doesn’t mention is how growth can facilitate greater saving. In a truly virtuous cycle, saving is transformed into productivity-enhancing additions to the stock of capital. And not just physical capital, but human capital through investment in education as well. In addition, growth makes possible additional research and development, facilitating the kind of technical innovation that can sustain growth.

Getting Out of the Way of Growth

Later in de Rugy’s piece, she evaluates various ways to stimulate growth, including deregulation, wage and price flexibility, eliminating subsidies, less emphasis on redistribution, and simplifying the tax code. All these features of public policy are stultifying and involve dead-weight losses to society. That’s not to deny the benefits of adequate state capacity for providing true public goods and a legal and judicial system to protect individual rights. The issue of state capacity is a major impediment to growth in the less developed world, whereas countries in the developed world tend to have an excess of state “capacity”, which often runs amok!

In the U.S., our regulatory state imposes huge compliance costs on the private sector and effectively prohibits or destroys incentives for a great deal of productive (and harmless) activity. Interference with market pricing stunts growth by diverting resources from their most valued uses. Instead, it directs them toward uses that are favored by political elites and cronies. Subsidies do the same by distorting tradeoffs at a direct cost to taxpayers. Our system of income taxes is rife with behavioral distortions and compliance costs, bleeding otherwise productive gains into the coffers of accountants, tax attorneys, and bureaucrats. Finally, redistribution often entails the creation of disincentives, fostering a waste of human potential and a pathology of dependence.

Growth and Morality

Given the unequivocally positive consequences of growth to humanity, could the moral case for growth be any clearer? De Rugy quotes Benjamin Friedman’s “The Moral Consequences of Economic Growth”:

“Growth is valuable not only for our material improvement but for how it affects our social attitudes and our political institutions—in other words, our society’s moral character, in the term favored by the Enlightenment thinkers from whom so many of our views on openness, tolerance and democracy have sprung.”

De Rugy also paraphrases Tyler Cowen’s position on growth from his book “Stubborn Attachments”:

“… economic growth, properly understood, should be an essential element of any ethical system that purports to care about universal human well-being. In other words, the benefits are so varied and important that nearly everyone should have a pro-growth program at or near the top of their agenda.”

Conclusion

Agitation for “degrowth” is often made in good faith by truly frightened people. Better education would help them, but our educational establishment has been corrupted by the same ignorant narrative. When it comes to rulers, the fearful are no less tyrannical than power-hungry authoritarians. In fact, fear can be instrumental in enabling that kind of transformation in the personalities of activists. A basic failing is their inability to recognize the many ways in which growth improves well-being, including the societal wealth to enable adaptation to changing conditions and the investment necessary to enhance our range of technological solutions for mitigating existential risks. Not least, however, is the failure of the zero-growth movement to understand the cruelty their position condones in exchange for their highly speculative assurances that we’ll all be better off if we just do as they say. A terrible downside will be unavoidable if and when growth is outlawed.

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Nintil

To estimate, compare, distinguish, discuss, and trace to its principal sources everything

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A Commonwealth immigrant's perspective on the UK's public arena.

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